Transportist by David Levinson Networks, Economics, and Urban Systems

Time 2021-01-17 11:04:35

Web Name: Transportist by David Levinson Networks, Economics, and Urban Systems

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Aoustin, Louise, and David M Levinson. 2021. “Longing to Travel: Commute Appreciation during COVID-19.” Findings, January. [doi].Based on a survey of 197 Sydneysiders undertaken during the COVID-19 Lockdown, this study shows time spent in transport was missed the most by public transport users, followed by push bike users, e-bike users, pedestrians, and finally drivers. Men missed time spent in transport more than women. It also finds that for public transport users, the more transfers, the less they miss time spent commuting.The TransportLab Seminar started up again in the second half of 2020. In addition to student presentations, the virtual format allowed us to host several academic and industry speakers, including:Meead Saberi (UNSW) on Strategic Modelling for Walking InfrastructureJonathan Busch (SCT Consulting) on a practitioner’s perspective on transport innovationEmilie Gunaratnam and Matthew Jones (TfNSW) on Cost-Benefit Analysis at TfNSWSue McNeil (University of Delaware) on using real-time time data to provide situational awareness to first responders in emergencies.Gabriel Metcalfe (Committee for Sydney) on Advocacy for Change in Mobility SystemsTransportLab participated in the annual Transport Research Association for NSW (TraNSW) Symposium on 17-19 November. Six TransportLab students presented their work, and Linji Chen (fourth from left) received an award for Best Research Demonstration.Teck Kean Chin has started his PhD on Smart City Applications in Land Use and TransportMengyuan (Derek) Zhu has started his MPhil on Optimising Space-time Matching in Ridesharing through Predictive ModellingFormer post-doc Mengying Cui started as an Associate Professor at Chang-An UniversityJing Chen and Louise Aoustin finished as a visiting scholars with TransportLab at Sydney.Louise graduated from EPFL and is currently working atKeolis Downer in Sydney.Jing Chen will finish her PhD at Southeast University in Nanjing, ChinaJennifer Kent’s book Planning Australia s Healthy Built Environments was awarded a Commendation Award for Planning Excellence in the category of Cutting Edge Research and Teaching by the Planning Institute of Australia, NSW.Emily Moylan received the 2020 Dean’s (Faculty)Awardfor Teaching Innovation in 2019 for her work incorporating informatics into the transport curriculum.Mohsen Ramezani has received an ARC DECRA onMarket Design of Next Generation of Shared and Automated Transport ServicesPhD student Linji Chen won the Best Research Demonstration Award at the TraNSW 2020 Symposium for his presentation onDecentralised Cooperative Cruising of Autonomous Fleet.Honours student April Alcock is the 2020 University of Sydney winner of the ITE-ANZ Trafficworks Student Award.Ji, Ang andLevinson, D. (2020) Injury severity prediction from two-vehicle crash mechanisms with machine learning and ensemble models.IEEE Open Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems. [doi]Kamal, M. A. S., Ramezani, M., Wu, G., Roncoli, C., Rios-Torres, J., Orfila, O. (2020). Partially Connected and Automated Traffic Operations in Road Transportation.Journal of Advanced Transportation.[doi]Kent, J.L. (2020). The role of car-sharing in sustainable transport. In Curtis, C. (Ed.) Handbook for Sustainable Transport. Edward Elgar, CheltenhamKent, J.L. and Thompson, S. (2020) Healthy Cities. In Rogers, D., Keane, A., Nelson, J. and Alizadeh, T. (Eds.) Introduction to Urbanism: An Interdisciplinary Approach. Palgrave McMillan, CamdenKent, J.L. (2020) Transport, access and health. In Mulley, C. (Ed.) Urban Form and Accessibility. Elsevier, LondonLevinson, D. (2020) A Timeline of Future Transport in Sydney as Revealed in Tablet Form. In Derrible, S. Chester, M. (Ed.) Urban Infrastructure: Reflections For 2100: An Edited Volume Imagining Infrastructure Transitions And Goals At End-Of-Century. Independently published.Paine, G., Thompson, S., Prior, J., Connon, I., Kent, J. L. (2020). Bringing History Forward: Learning from Historical Context when Translating Contemporary Health Evidence into Planning Practice. Journal of Planning History. [doi]New housing supply, population growth, and access to social infrastructurefor Australian Housing and Urban Research Institute (AHURI)David Levinson was a panelist at Transport Australia Society webinar: The Role of Walking in the Movement and Place FrameworkAustroads has commissioned eight online learning units from ARRB and the University of Sydney that cover the fundamentals of traffic management. (I created Units 5 and 7). The units cover 22 modules, each includes a video with in-session exercises. Some modules include additional tutorials. Paul Bannett of ARRB will be presenting the dissemination webinar on the 21stJanuary. If you wish to tune in, you can register here: https://austroads.com.au/webinars-and-eventsUnit 1: Introduction to Traffic Management1-1 Introduction to the Learning Modules and Objectives and Principles of Traffic ManagementUnit 2: Traffic Behaviour and Traffic Theory Fundamentals2-1 The Stochastic Nature of Traffic Behaviour2-2Fundamental Speed-flow-density Relationships2-3Fundamental Microscopic RelationshipsUnit 3: Transport Study, Traffic Data and Analysis Methods3-1 Transport and Traffic Data3-2 Traffic Analysis Concepts3-3 Capacity AnalysisUnit 4: Transport Operations Control Strategies and Systems4-1 Objectives and Principles of Transport Operations4-2 Signalised Intersections – Operations and Control Strategies4-3 Unsignalised Intersections – Stop, Give Way and Roundabouts4-4 Overview of Traffic Management CentresUnit 5: Network Operations Planning5-1 Network Operations Planning Accessibility5-2 Network Operations Planning Process5-3 Road Space Allocation and Road Use Priority5-4 Movement and PlaceUnit 6: Network Performance Monitoring and Management6-1 Network Performance6-2 Traffic Congestion and Management6-3 Traffic Incident and Event Management6-4 Traffic ModellingUnit 7: Safe System Approach to Traffic Management7-1 The Safe System ApproachUnit 8: Intelligent Transport Systems8-1 Intelligent Transport Systems for Traffic Control8-2 Managed Motorways – Operational Principles, Managed Motorway ToolkitIARAI is organisingTraffic4cast 2020 Special SessiononFriday,December 11, 2020. This is a virtual-only event to be held on Zoom. It includes 2 sessions: Traffic4cast Special Session features an in-depth discussion of theTraffic4cast 2020core competition results. The goal of the competition is to predict traffic in multiple big cities of different culture and economy based on industrial-scale real-world traffic data.Traffic4cast has been again selected this year for the prestigious Neural Information Processing Systems (NeurIPS), the leading event in machine learning. Thesummary of the competitionis presented at theNeurIPS competition trackon Friday, December 11.I will be taking part at the Transport Stage at #Australiabuild Week Online, taking place between Dec 7-11th.  I am speaking on Thursday, December 10, at 14:40 AEDT on The Thirty-Minute City .And check out other presentations that will be taking place throughout the week at https://www.australiabuild.com/agendaWelcome to the latest issue of The Transportist, especially to our new readers. As always you can follow along at thetransportist.orgor onTwitter.Transport Access Manual: A Guide for Measuring Connection between People and PlacesNow available:Transport Access Manual: A Guide for Measuring Connection between People and Placesby The Committee of the Transport Access Manual. (Download PDF) (Paper)ThisManualis a guide for quantifying and evaluating access for anybody interested in truly understanding how to measure the performance of transport and land use configurations. It contains enough to help transport and planning professionals achieve a more comprehensive look at their city or region than traditional transport analysis allows. It provides a point of entry for interested members of the public as well as practitioners by being organized in a logical and straightforward way.Access and Mobility: Clearing Up the ConfusionFundamental Model of AccessAccess, Movement, and PlaceAccess and EquityStrategies for AccessRoadmap for Using this ManualBaseline Trend AnalysisPerformance MonitoringPerformance StandardsGoalsTransport Project EvaluationLand Use Change EvaluationMetrics for Disadvantaged PopulationsTransport Equity AnalysisFinancial Costs of AccessPredictor of Travel BehaviorIdentify ObjectivesStratify AnalysisDetermine Travel CostsDetermine Opportunities at DestinationsAccumulate Opportunities Reachable from OriginsAssess Competitive AccessCalculate Dual AccessSummarize MeasuresVisualize ResultsEdge EffectsModifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP)Modifiable Temporal Unit Problem (MTUP)Starting Point EffectsStarting Time EffectsTransportModelingEconomicGeographyModelingLocation of Activities and InvestmentsReal Estate PricesSpatial MechanismsProductivity: the Agglomeration EffectWagesEmployment RatesEffects on Gross Domestic ProductBenefits of Access PlanningAudience for Access MetricsReflective of Planning GoalsImproving the Adoption of Access ToolsProject Team and StakeholdersBudget and ResourcesSoftware Installations and SubscriptionsVery High Quality Color Trade Paperback onBlurb $39.89I wrote this in 2014PHASING IN ROAD PRICING ONE ELECTRIC VEHICLE AT ATIME… this is now salient because Australian states are about to implement this (South Australia,Victoria,New South Wales).General view: Good in theory, depends in practice on the rates and fuel taxes. But given nearly 100% of new cars will be EVs sooner than most people think, and they don’t pay fuel taxes, and they do use roads, and right now their owners have above average incomes, it seems a perfect time to get road pricing implemented without the huge political fight that would come if it is done too late. Of course this might be a disincentive to purchase EVs, but it’s a relatively small charge now, and new EV purchases can be incentivized separately, if that were important. (But why EVs not E-Bikes etc.)Would this have happened had I not moved to Australia? We will never know.I wrote this in 2008MEMO TO THE NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES ON TRANSPORTATIONPOLICYThese recommendations are still mostly pretty good which is depressing, as it indicates we have made very little progress in domain of transport. Maybe the next President will take it up.Jabbari, Parastoo, and Don MacKenzie. 2020. “Ride Sharing Attitudes Before and During the COVID-19 Pandemic in the United States.”Findings, November.https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.17991.Wu, Xinyu, Frank Douma, Jason Cao, and Erika Shepard. 2020. “Preparing Transit in the Advent of Automated Vehicles: A Focus-Group Study in the Twin Cities.”Findings, November.https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.17872.Jamal, Shaila, and Antonio Paez. 2020. “Changes in Trip-Making Frequency by Mode during COVID-19.”Findings, November.https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.17977.Tokey, Ahmad Ilderim. 2020. “Change of Bike-Share Usage in Five Cities of United States during COVID-19.”Findings, November.https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.17851.Du, Jianhe, and Hesham A. Rakha. 2020. “COVID-19 Impact on Ride-Hailing: The Chicago Case Study.”Findings, October.https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.17838.I spoke at theFestival of Urbanismon November 18. Mobility and Housing Futures about the “New New Normal: Mobility and Activity in the ‘After Times’”. A narrated slide-deck of the talk is available onYouTube.I will be speaking atAustralia Buildconference on the Thirty-Minute City. December 10, 14:40.I will be speaking at theNeurIPSconference on End of Traffic and Future of Access. December 11, 19:15 AEDT.Now available:Transport Access Manual: A Guide for Measuring Connection between People and Placesby The Committee of the Transport Access Manual. (Download PDF) (Paper)ThisManualis a guide for quantifying and evaluating access for anybody interested in truly understanding how to measure the performance of transport and land use configurations. It contains enough to help transport and planning professionals achieve a more comprehensive look at their city or region than traditional transport analysis allows. It provides a point of entry for interested members of the public as well as practitioners by being organized in a logical and straightforward way.Access and Mobility: Clearing Up the ConfusionFundamental Model of AccessAccess, Movement, and PlaceAccess and EquityStrategies for AccessRoadmap for Using this ManualBaseline Trend AnalysisPerformance MonitoringPerformance StandardsGoalsTransport Project EvaluationLand Use Change EvaluationMetrics for Disadvantaged PopulationsTransport Equity AnalysisFinancial Costs of AccessPredictor of Travel BehaviorIdentify ObjectivesStratify AnalysisDetermine Travel CostsDetermine Opportunities at DestinationsAccumulate Opportunities Reachable from OriginsAssess Competitive AccessCalculate Dual AccessSummarize MeasuresVisualize ResultsEdge EffectsModifiable Areal Unit Problem (MAUP)Modifiable Temporal Unit Problem (MTUP)Starting Point EffectsStarting Time EffectsTransportModelingEconomicGeographyModelingLocation of Activities and InvestmentsReal Estate PricesSpatial MechanismsProductivity: the Agglomeration EffectWagesEmployment RatesEffects on Gross Domestic ProductBenefits of Access PlanningAudience for Access MetricsReflective of Planning GoalsImproving the Adoption of Access ToolsProject Team and StakeholdersBudget and ResourcesSoftware Installations and SubscriptionsDavis, Blake, Ji, Ang, Liu, Bichen, and Levinson, D. (2020)Moving Array Traffic Probes.Frontiers in Future Transportation. doi: 10.3389/ffutr.2020.602356 [doi]Ji, Ang and Levinson, D. (2020) Injury severity prediction from two-vehicle crash mechanisms with machine learning and ensemble models.IEEE Open Journal of Intelligent Transportation Systems. [doi]You may have noticed thatTransport Findingshas becomeFindings. We believe the core idea of open access, peer-reviewed, short form research articles that is central toFindingshas applications well beyond the transport domain, and we don’t want to limit ourselves (or you). We could have started a lot of small journals, but it is more cost effective, and probably also more beneficial, to keep everything under one journal name, with multiple sections and editors.So everything we have published to date is in the sectionTransport Findings, as will undoubtedly be many future papers. But we are pleased to announce that we have opened up a new sectionUrban Findings, edited by Somwrita Sarkar, which will be launching soon.Urban Findingswelcomes submissions following theFindingsmodel of short, to-the-point research findings in the broad field of urbanism. You can see the Editorial Boardhere.So at this time we are aboutFindingsin the domains of Transport and Urbanism, because those are the practical limits of our current expertise, but we see no reason in principle that there should not be other sections.If you have ideas about a topic area that you would both like to see articles for,and are willing to edit, please let us know. Editors of the new section would have to help recruit an editorial board, solicit articles, find reviewers, and, of course, make editorial decisions.Unfortunately, we can only pay you in social capital, but those rewards are enormous, you will be helping assemble the knowledge of humanity, brick-by-brick, finding-by-finding.Praharaj, Sarbeswar, David King, Christopher Pettit, and Elizabeth Wentz. 2020. “Using Aggregated Mobility Data to Measure the Effect of COVID-19 Polices on Mobility Changes in Sydney, London, Phoenix, and Pune.”Findings, October.https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.17590.Toulouse, Catherine, Saeid Amiri, Marie-Soleil Cloutier, and Nicolas Saunier. 2020. “Speed Limit Changes and Driver Behaviour: A Spatial Lag Model.”Findings, October.https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.17408.Adediji, Yemi, and Robert Noland. 2020. “How Data Imputation Affects Crash Modeling Results.”Findings, October.https://doi.org/10.32866/001c.17386.The University of Sydney’s First Roderick Distinguished International Webinar is scheduled on Thursday, 19 November 2020, from 6-7pm (AEST) via Zoom. Prof. Jennifer Whyte from Imperial College London will talk onInfrastructure projects and digital delivery. CLICK HEREto register.I will be speaking at theFestival of Urbanismon November 18. Mobility and Housing Futures: Lessons from COVID-19 and the 2019-20 bushfires. I will be talking about the “New New Normal: Mobility and Activity in the ‘After Times’”I talked to the University of British Columbia on November 4 (their time) about “The New New Normal”.My solution for increasing Sydney real estate prices: A giant helium inflatable mirror ball tethered to a ferry and floating over Sydney Harbour so everyone has a view of the water.I had held this issue until after the November election, since there wasn’t much hope to get through the noise before the election.There are two choices on the ballot. If one of them wins, we will be collectively f*cked. What remains of democracy will be in tatters, along with all of the other problems society has. If the other wins, we will be slightly less f*cked. It’s highly unlikely they will solve most of the problems we have, but we will be slightly less bad off, democracy will get at least one more election cycle to restore itself, a semblance of an attempt to solve social and environmental problems will be made. It’s unlikely they will succeed, but they will at least defer the point of failure, slowing the rate of decline. Vote for slightly less f*cked.Assuming Biden won, my general view is that the US, democracy, and the world are slightly less screwed than before the election, but there remain a huge set of long-term hurdles in front of us, none of which have been solved, all of which are solvable, all which on my happier days I hope we can solve, and most of which I expect won’t be solved, hence my general pessimism. We are taught that story-telling requires a triangle ofvictim,villain, andherosurrounding the problem. The technical problems are all laid out below. The meta-problem is that the victims, villains, and heroes are often an overlapping set of people. All of us in transport understand this as a social dilemma, when individual incentives don’t align with society’s. We see this with congestion, the marginal cost of delay a traveler imposes on others exceeds the cost of delay the traveler herself experiences.Electoral reform is a particularly American problem, due to its historically early and constitution that is too difficult to amend. Some combination of compact districts (no gerrymandering), each district getting electoral votes (as per Maine and Nebraska), and ranked choice voting would be a huge, and easily implemented first step solution not requiring an Amendment (the states would need to consent, but federal $ are usually good for that). But there is far more to do to get this right. (Victim=democracy, representativeness; Villain=constitution, politicians through the ages who never fixed this, US Senate, residents of low population states) To this we can add:judicial reform, voting reform, restoring voting rights for those returning to society, and numerous other related reforms. Somehow these things are not a problem in Australia, where everyone can (and indeed must) vote, there aren’t unnecessary lines, voter suppression isn’t a thing, prisoners are not prohibited from voting, they are required to vote, votes are counted quickly, you can vote for whomever you want without wasting your vote because of ranked choice voting, and people accept the outcome of the election, even if they are disappointed, because the process was perceived fair. The PM will not have a majority of votes nationally, because that’s not how it’s decided, he is elected by the majority party or coalition in Parliament and will only have won his/her own seat. The winning party may not have a majority of votes nationally either, it s ranked choice voting, but they have won some number (usually a plurality) of seats, and can form a coalition. The system isn’t perfect, it still has a monarch the Queen of Australia is on the money it doesn’t really get the idea of consultation is to actually consider public input before making decisions not merely collect it and tick a box, it’s been described as electing a dictatorship that must go back to the people every 3 years for re-election, and has few checks on its power in the interim but for that election.Civil rights and policing may be improving, but as we become more aware of the issue due to ubiquitous cameras it seems to be getting worse. But whether it is improving or not, the state of policing is bad, and the police violence in the US exceeds other countries. (Victim=those oppressed by police and in fear of police, Villain=police) None of this every was acceptable. Gun violence in the US is almost completely solvable in a technical sense, examples of countries with much better records include Australia and New Zealand, but is not solved. (Victim=those killed, Villain=people with guns shooting people)The virus, for which eventually we will get ‘herd immunity’ because everyone who has survived has had it, or an efficacious vaccine eventually arrives. In the mean time this of course has resulted in lockdowns, devastated industries including tourism, aviation, public transport, retail, restaurants, and entertainment. (Victim=everyone, Villain=virus)The financial system, which has a of course huge amounts of inefficiency, fueled by debt, leading to bubbles in asset prices and stocks (the 5-year change in the S P 500 is 64%, even considering the virus, does that sound like a reasonable increase in the expectations of future profits? … sure if interest rates go to zero, than NPV goes to infinity, but that doesn’t seem likely to me given all the other dynamics … at some point people lose confidence in the ability of governments to repay their ever-rising debts), as well as huge amounts of inequity, growing steadily worse over time. The Rise of Carry is an excellent if difficult book explaining some of the bubble dynamics. I have become something of a perma-bear, but that’s because I am highly suspicious of the Adderall-fueled frat boys running up the prices of stocks, not because I doubt capitalism and markets can do great things if properly regulated. (Victim= investors, people who participate in the economy; Villain=algorithms, people who write algorithms, Adderall, traders)Pollution/decarbonisation, America s response to COVID-19 portends poorly for any hope of an impactful behavioural fix for climate change. It s tech fix or nothing. Behaviour and investment (in things like vehicle electrification and adoption of renewable power and phase out of fossil fuels) can of course be incentivised with prices, but while this has been known to be the correct policy for decades, it has hardly been implemented. Hopefully the prices of solar, wind, and batteries keep falling, so change will happen despite political recalcitrance. But there is no guarantee this tech fix is fast enough or complete enough to meaningfully minimise the continually increasing negative outcomes of climate change. At which point removing carbon from the atmosphere seems an increasingly likely solution (which would have been unnecessary had the carbon not been put there in the first place.) We still have problems with deforestation and loss of biodiversity that are also critical, getting back to the problem that no one owns the environment or is economically motivated to protect it. (Victim=environment, people who breathe, people who live near the ocean; Villain=polluters, people who use non-renewable electricity and fossil fuels)Traffic safety, the US is killing pedestrians at an increasing rate (as described by Angie Schmitt), for reasons that are well known, and solvable (since many countries are improving on this metric) but for which society is unwilling to do anything. (Victim=people hit by cars, their family, friends, medical system; Villain=people who drive, people who make cars, people who make roads).Congestion, which isn’t really as much of a problem these days, but we still refuse to solve it and insist on building 20th century infrastructure in response. (Victim=people who travel, people who subsidise roads; Villain=people who drive)Critical Thinking Skills. Have we added lead back into the air? I ask this because people sure seem to be getting stupider and more vulnerable to conspiracy theories than before. Science, is a largely self-correcting system, but its influence on important issues has become needless politicised, especially, but not only, in the US (see: vaccines, pollution). Now this isn’t worse than some points in the past, Galileo had some issues I hear, but surely now that we live in the future, we should be more accepting of the scientific consensus. We have failed to educate non-scientists and non-engineers (both those with and without university educations) enough about how to think clearly, so all we get is muddle and conspiracy.Government transparency. Compared to the US, this is particularly an Australian, and perhaps New South Wales, problem, but documents that should be public (e.g. business cases for massive public infrastructure projects) are held as cabinet-in-confidence for ages. Other data, like travel surveys, are not even made available to researchers under confidentiality agreements. What is being covered up? Surely not the thing I am requesting, but they can’t hold only the thing being covered up “in confidence”, otherwise we could figure out what it is. (Victim=citizens, good government; Villain=politicians and government staff)Crony capitalism … as described in The Game of Mates by Cameron Murray and Paul Frijters … is a pervasive problem in government, along with the revolving door guaranteeing that politicians who do favours are rewarded in the “after life”. (Victim=taxpayers; Villain=politicians and crony capitalists)Share this:Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window)Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window)Click to share on LinkedIn (Opens in new window)Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window)Click to share on Tumblr (Opens in new window)Click to share on Pinterest (Opens in new window)MoreClick to email this to a friend (Opens in new window)Click to print (Opens in new window)Click to share on WhatsApp (Opens in new window)Click to share on Pocket (Opens in new window)Click to share on Skype (Opens in new window)Click to share on Telegram (Opens in new window)Like this:Like Loading...

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