Aspects of India's Economy, Research Unit for Political Economy (R.U.P.E)Time 2021-05-29 22:12:29
Description:New from RUPE: Crisis and Predation: India, Covid-19 and Global Finance Published by Monthly Review Press, New York Available as a free ebook and as a downloadable PDF. A print version will shortly be available in India at a low price. With the advent of COVID-19, India s rulers imposed the world s most stringent lockdown on an already depressed economy, dealing a body blow to the majority of India s billion-plus population. Yet the Indian government s spending to cushion the lockdown s economic impact ranked among the world s lowest in GDP terms, resulting in unprecedented unemployment and hardship. Crisis and Predation shows how this tight-fistedness stems from the fact that global financial interests oppose any sizable expansion of public spending by India, and that Indian rulers readily adhere to their guidance. The authors reveal that global investors and a handful of top Indian corporate groups actually benefit from the resulting demand depression: armed with funds, they are picking up valuable assets at distress prices. Meanwhile, under the banner of reviving private investment, India s rulers have planned giant privatizations, and drastically revised laws concerning industrial labor, the peasantry, and the environment in favor of large capital. And yet, this book contends, India could defy the pressures of global finance in order to address the basic needs of its people. But this would require shedding reliance on foreign capital flows, and taking a course of democratic national development. This, then, is a course not for India s ruling classes, but for its people to struggle for. Also available online: No.74: Imperial Overreach in Iran In the last week of June 2019, as this article was being written, tensions between the U.S. and Iranian governments escalated sharply. On June 20, 2019, in response to aggressive U.S. actions, including the mobilization of troops, naval forces, and aerial provocations, Iran shot down a U.S. surveillance drone flying near the Iranian border. The U.S. government used this as an excuse to threaten to bomb Iran. The United States might implement this threat in the near future, setting off a wider conflict. Also: The Struggle for Actually Building Socialist Society No.s 72 73: India’s Working Class and Its Prospects, Part Two It is 200 years since the birth of Karl Marx. To mark this occasion, Aspects of India’s Economy has published a special issue, in two parts, on the working class of India. The collection covers a range of subjects: the specific features of the Indian working class, in the light of Marx’s theory; the conditions that lead to bondage and migration of workers from Odisha to the brick kilns of Telangana; the conditions of brick kiln labour in Maharashtra; the Kanpur leather industry and its workers; the conditions of garment workers in Delhi and Bengaluru, and the explosions of mass unrest there; the effects of contractualisation and informalisation in organised sector manufacturing, and the scope for struggle in this situation; and experiences of organising workers in Chhattisgarh. No.s 70 71: India s Working Class and Its Prospects, Part One It is 200 years since the birth of Karl Marx. To mark this occasion, Aspects of India s Economy has published a special issue, in two parts, on the working class of India. The collection covers a range of subjects: the specific features of the Indian working class, in the light of Marx s theory; the conditions that lead to bondage and migration of workers from Odisha to the brick kilns of Telangana; the conditions of brick kiln labour in Maharashtra; the Kanpur leather industry and its workers; the conditions of garment workers in Delhi and Bengaluru, and the explosions of mass unrest there; the effects of contractualisation and informalisation in organised sector manufacturing, and the scope for struggle in this situation; and experiences of organising workers in Chhattisgarh. No. 69: The Political Economy of India and Democratic Rights In order to understand the situation of democratic rights in our country, as well as in order to build the democratic rights movement, it is necessary to know something about the political economy of our country. For this helps us grasp two things: Firstly, why oppression and repression of the people are forocious and endemic in our country. Secondly, what is the material basis upon which people's consciousness about democratic rights develops. This in turn helps us orient our building of the democratic rights movement. Also: Coal Is King; Imperialism and Climate Change No. 68: Neoimperialism and Labor CompressionNeoimperialism, by way of a new international division of labour, has emerged in the shape of global value chains over the last two to three decades. Taking advantage of increased openness of developing countries to foreign investment, transnational corporations based in the developed countries have fragmented production processes across different low-wage locations. Only a negligible share of the value is captured in the developing countries, and the rest is captured in the developed countries, the lion s share by the transnational corporations. The widespread labour protests in Asia clearly testify to the reality of compression (degradation and repression) of labour in these chains."Also:Widening the Gulf No.s 66-67: India's Peasantry Under Neoliberal Rule The Modi government has promised to double the incomes of farmers. Although, on closer examination, this statement turns out to be meaningless, it has acquired a life of its own, like many other such meaningless claims. This publication looks at the present situation of India s peasants, some of the deceptive promises being made to them, and some of the dangers lying ahead. Ultimately, all current ruling class programmes to address the present agrarian distress separate the question of setting right agriculture from question of the peasantry that works it. In fact the dominant strain treats the peasantry as the main obstacle to agrarian transformation. Nor should one expect otherwise, given the transformation they are seeking. A Hindi translation of this issue is now available as a downloadable PDF. The translation is done by the Karwan Collective, which may be contacted at karwancollective(at)gmail.com. No. 65: Behind the Hype of E-commerceThis publication critically examines the hype and hope that are being invested in e-commerce. It argues that the talk of entrepreneurship, jobs and consumer sovereignty is a myth. It shows how technology is being deployed to render invisible the real relations of capital with employees, customers, and the State. It shows how international finance capital places the sector beyond the regulation and control of the Indian State. It brings out the real employment practices of thee-commerce sector. Finally, it argues that, despite the powerful backing of international finance capital and the Indian State, the e-commerce sector is mired in the structural constraints of the Indian economy. No. 64: Why the Poor Do Not Count One third of the world s 1.2 billion poorest people live in India, according to the latest Millennium Development Goalsreportby the UN. The rulers have been trying to do away with this embarrassment by redefining the poor . But such exercises do not do away with the reality of abysmal conditions of existence for the majority of people. Also: The Great Regression; Cars, Capitalism and India No. 63: Globalisation without GlobalDemand Different interests are coming to the fore on how to tackle the crisis. These differences reflect different shades of interest within the ruling classes, as well as between the native ruling classes and international capital. While there is no fundamental contradiction between these interests, there are secondary differences, and these are worth noting, for they shed light on the underlying situation. There is, however, a real chasm between all these interests and the interests of the masses of people. Also: Private Investment: The God that Failed No. 62: Railways on Track for Privatization The extreme miserliness of the Indian State toward the Indian Railways is a striking example of economic irrationality; but it is an irrationality imposed by the reigningclassinterests. A thorough-going programme of public investment in the Railways would increase the productivity of the economy as a whole, render Indian industry more competitive, and do sowithoutplacing anynetburden on Government finances. Nevertheless, the State refuses to undertake such a programme. Also: Constructing Theoretical Justifications to Suppress People’s Social Claims No. 61: Rising Corporate Military Complex in India: A Critical Appraisal India s rulers treat the country s military might as synonymous with its health and international stature. Acquisition of the latest weaponry has become such a fixation for the military establishment that a commentator recently called the new defence minister the minister for defence procurement. Also: Making Room in India for Whom?; Bank Board Bureau: Another Step toward Privatisation and Foreign Takeover; Public sector banks: Reform by Death No.s 59 60: Remembering Socialist China, 1949-1976 On October 1, 1949, at Tienanmen Square, Mao Zedong proclaimed the creation of the People s Republic of China (PRC). ... It is to mark the 65th anniversary of that proclamation in Tienanmen Square, and the 27 years of socialist China that followed it, that we are bringing out this special issue. Innumerable books have been written on that period by scholars from around the world. Many of these writings are outstanding, and worth returning to in order to better understand that experience. Our intention is not to duplicate those efforts. The aim of this special issue is to bring out the voices of China s ordinary people that, once again, cannot be heard. Containing articles by Mobo Gao, Dongping Han, and Hao Qi. No. 58: A Middle Class India? In the 1990s, the mirage of a giant Indian middle class had served to attract foreigninvestors. But today, talk of the middle class has more serious domesticpolitical implications. It is being used to promote two linked ideas:One, that the economic policies of the last two decades have created widespread prosperity, and not merely a prosperous elite.Two, that we therefore need no longer worry about poverty, but can instead focus on aggressive neoliberal development . No. 57: The Real Agenda of the Gates Foundation The Gates operation resembles nothing so much as a massive, vertically MNC, controlling every step in a supply chain that reaches from its Seattle-based boardroom, through various stages of procurement, production, and distribution, to millions of nameless, impoverished end-users in the villages of Africa and South Asia. Emulating his own strategies for cornering the software market, Gates has created a virtual monopoly in the field of public health. In the words of one NGO official, [y]ou can t cough, scratch your head or sneeze in health without coming to the Gates Foundation. Also: Suniti Kumar Ghosh, 1918-2014 No. 56: RBI under Rajan: Answerable to Whom? The RBI is the country s central bank. As such, it uses a variety of means to manage how much money circulates in the economy and how much that money is worth; it also regulates the financial sector. Its stated aim till now has been to perform these functions in order to promote a broad set of macroeconomic objectives: economic growth and employment, controlling inflation, efficiency of the financial system, preventing volatility (including of the external account), and financial inclusion. True, it has not really been working for all these objectives; but it has at least paid lip-service to them, and so has not been able to ignore them completely. When it stops even paying lip-service to these multiple objectives, one can be sure something is afoot. Also: Royalties:Royal Treatment of Foreign Investors?; New Bank Licences: For Financial Inclusion, or Financial Exclusion? No. 55: Let Them Eat Fat Official economists claim that increasing prosperity has diversified Indian diets. They tell us not to worry about the fact that people are consuming less cereals per head than before. After all, they say, Indians are now shifting tosuperiorfoods: as households move up the income ladder, their expenditure on food shifts relatively towards proteins, fruits and vegetables and so on, which exacerbates demand pressures. Nobody would dispute this simple assertion. People eat better (as reflected in a more diversified and balanced diet) as they grow richer. Indeed, it is true that if people were growing richer they would be eating better. However, facts and figures about actual nutritional intake do not show that people are eating better.Also: Are There Just Too Many of US?; Industrial Wages: An Update; What the Fall in the Current Accounts Deficit Reveals No. 54: The External Crisis The entire liberalisation process since 1991was meant to render India internationally competitive and overcome the balance of payments difficulties which had plagued it in one form or another since the mid-1950s. It has instead deepened India s dependence on foreign capital, increased foreign ownership of Indian assets, and strengthened foreign dictation of Indian economic policy. Also: Balance of Payments: The Political-Economic Background; Questioning the Official Power Policy (by Suvrat Raju); Whose Agenda? US Strategic Interests, India, and Sri Lankan War Crimes No. 53: The Two Aims of the BudgetThe Budget has in the main two explicit aims, as stated in Chidambaram s Budget speech. The first is to attract foreign capital at all costs. ... The second is to revive growth by getting private investors to invest. The key to understanding the Budget as well as the entire range of economic policies being pursued by the Government lies in these two statements. Also: FIIs: Difficult to Please; Why Do Credit Rating Agencies Press India to Reduce Government Spending?; The 'Fiscal Deficit' Bogeyman and His Uses; Large Corporate Firms on Investment Strike; Will Cutting the Fiscal Deficit Bring Down Inflation? No. 52: Behind the Present Wave of Unrest in the Auto Industry How did this deterioration take place? It was not merely a story of growing worker productivity, the ability to produce more per hour with new technology. As we saw above, workers wages actuallyfellin real terms by almost one-fifth. Active class struggle was being waged by the employers against the workers. Also: Union Budget 2012-13: Gifts for Private Capital, Thefts from the Working People: The Political Economy of Corporations: Behind the Veil of Corporate Efficiency No. 51: A Modest Proposal Regarding Subsidies Every subsidy, of course, has a broader social objective. In the case of the subsidies under discussion here, the purpose is to enrich a microscopic section of society. The test of the subsidy is how efficiently it meets that objective. As we shall see below, while these subsidies have certainly succeeded, there remain problems of transparency, efficiency, targeting, and vulnerability to political attacks. Also: The Dangers of Providing Speculators a Bigger Playground by Sunanda Sen and Mahua Paul; Foreign Investment and Land Acquisition No. 50: Their 'Growth', Their Slowdown and the Condition of the People The entire discussion of the slowdown brings to the fore once again the gulf between the economy of the elite and that of the masses of people. This should not be taken to mean that the two operate independently of each other; rather, the former is rising on the bony and wearybackof the latter. As the elite strains to reach higher and higher, it plunges the people into the depths. No. 49: India’s Rulers and India’s National Interest The depiction of India as a rising independent power, a power that embraces the Realist view and hard-headedly promotes its self-interest, appeals to India s elite and a section of its middle class. ... In the actual correlation of forces worldwide, the global power aspiration of India s ruling classes, far from promoting India's true national interest (the interest of the Indian people), undermines it. No. 48: India's Atomic Energy Programme: Claims and RealityThe Indian government claims that nuclear power would wipe out a projected energy deficit by 2050 of 412,000 MW. Is this figure realistic? How does the economic cost of nuclear power compare with other sources of energy? What is the link between the civilian and military programmes and how does the nuclear deal bear upon weaponization? Will the planned massive nuclear expansion make India dependent on imperialist powers? Why was the Government willing to risk its very survival to ensure passage of the nuclear deal? No. 47: The New Great Depression and India In the space of a few months everything has changed. GDP growth is falling, and the manufacturing sector has gone into a tailspin; the best-known Indian firms are making losses and cancelling planned investments; the sharemarket has crashed; foreign acquisitions are proving to be albatrosses round the necks of many corporate firms; and the smugness of the ruling elite has evaporated. No.s 44-46: India s Runaway Growth: Distortion, Disarticulation, and Exclusion India's economy has seen rapid growth since 2003-04. At the same time, the proponents of the current policies have been unable to explain why, amid this extraordinary boom, we witness mass malnutrition; abysmal growth and quality of employment; stagnant or declining real wages; stagnation or retrogression in agriculture, with a profound crisis of the small peasantry. No. 43: What Keeps Disputes on River Waters Alive? The ruling class parties, and assorted appendages of ruling class politics (regional chauvinist outfits, ambitious clerics, film stars and their fan clubs, opportunist trade unions/peasant fronts), choose to present the issue of the inter-state distribution of river waters as the most important problem of the peasantry. Plus: Suniti Kumar Ghosh on 1947; Dipankar Dey on FDI in India's retail trade. No. 42: 'Counter-Revolution in Military Affairs? Wired or postmodern warfare, it was widely claimed, would transform the 21st-century battlefield and assure American supremacy for generations to come. ... US strategists are now re-learning the fundamental lessons of Vietnam: that guerilla war is a political, not merely a military, struggle; that technology cannot defeat a determined popular resistance; that resistance fighters draw their power from the sympathies and co-operation of the people. Plus: Wheat Imports: A Tool for Reshaping Indian Agriculture. No. 41: 'Global Power', Client State In recent years, successive governments at the Centre have actively promoted the notion that India is emerging as a 'global' or 'great' power, and that this is a matter of national pride. Now the United States has declared that it plans to make India a world power . What sort of 'global power' is India in the process of becoming? No.s 39 40: The Story of Otis Elevators Plus: Examining the Current Boom; Budget 2005-06: Seeing through the Propaganda; more. No. 38: The UPA Government's Economic Policies Plus: Squeezing state finances; the US and conscription; foundations and imperialism; debate on the WSF; more. No.s 36 37: The Real State of India's Economy From the issue: [T] the entire India Shining campaign is a cheap statistical fraud. There is no significant turnaround in the economy as a whole. The actual condition of the people and their productive future the only real measure of economic performance is appalling. No. 35: The Economics and Politics of the World Social Forum From the issue: Globalisation , a misleading word for the current onslaught by imperialism, can be resisted, and even defeated, by a combinationof struggles at various levels, in various countries, in various forms. ... However,a careful analysis reveals that the World Social Forum is not an instrument ofsuch struggle. It is a diversion from it. Nos. 33 34: Behind the Invasion of Iraq [S]ynthesizes the seemingly disparate threads of the US war drive in a blistering indictment of American foreign policy . . . The effect is of puzzle pieces clicking into place. Counterpunch See also Back Issues. Note: Behind the Invasion of Iraq has been issued in book form and may be ordered online from Monthly Review Press.
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